Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 4

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis)


	Indianapolis Colts		Los Angeles Rams

	1	2
	1.95	1.87	Watch
	1.95	1.87
	1.96	1.88	Watch
	1.95	1.88
	2.02	1.88
	1.95	1.87
	1.92	1.91
	1.87	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX (WPBI - Lafayette, IN)

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Current Win Probability

Indianapolis Colts
49%

Los Angeles Rams
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indianapolis Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Los Angeles Rams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Rams than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Indianapolis Colts - Los Angeles Rams Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Indianapolis will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). LA Rams will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Indianapolis: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:24

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Indianapolis is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

LA Rams is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Indianapolis to win the game is with odds 1.92.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Indianapolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 65-125.

Including matches at home between the teams Indianapolis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 32-65.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
24.09.23	Baltimore Ravens - Indianapolis Colts	19:22 OT ✺
17.09.23	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	20:31 ✺
10.09.23	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	21:31 ✺
24.08.23	Philadelphia Eagles - Indianapolis Colts	13:27 ✺
19.08.23	Indianapolis Colts - Chicago Bears	24:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWW
- Los Angeles Rams
NFL
25.09.23	Cincinnati Bengals - Los Angeles Rams	19:16 ✺
17.09.23	Los Angeles Rams - San Francisco 49ers	23:30 ✺
10.09.23	Seattle Seahawks - Los Angeles Rams	13:30 ✺
26.08.23	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Rams	41:0 ✺
19.08.23	Los Angeles Rams - Las Vegas Raiders	17:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
19.09.21	Indianapolis Colts - Los Angeles Rams	24:27
10.09.17	Los Angeles Rams - Indianapolis Colts	46:9
29.08.15	Los Angeles Rams - Indianapolis Colts	14:24
10.11.13	Indianapolis Colts - Los Angeles Rams	8:38
12.08.12	Indianapolis Colts - Los Angeles Rams	N/A

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