Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 15

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday

Location: TIAA Bank Field (Jacksonville)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch


	Jacksonville Jaguars		Dallas Cowboys

	1	2
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.7	1.48
	2.75	1.5
	2.75	1.46
	2.82	1.49
	2.8	1.48	Watch
	2.67	1.49
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.17)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX (WVFX - Clarksburg, WV)

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Current Win Probability

Jacksonville Jaguars
34.9%

Dallas Cowboys
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacksonville Jaguars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Dallas Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Cowboys than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars - Dallas Cowboys Predictions

Users Predictions: Dallas Cowboys will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:26

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3).

Jacksonville has currently - 5-8, has a small chance of playoffs (15%), has a small chance of win division (14%), has not chance of 1st-round bye.

Dallas has currently - 10-3, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a small chance of win division (13%), has a small chance of 1st-round bye (11%).

This event has big quality 80, importance 36, match rating 58. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Jacksonville is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dallas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dallas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Dallas to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jacksonville won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 58-85.

Including matches at home between the teams Jacksonville won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL
11.12.22	Tennessee Titans - Jacksonville Jaguars	22:36 ✺
04.12.22	Detroit Lions - Jacksonville Jaguars	40:14 ✺
27.11.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Baltimore Ravens	28:27 ✺
13.11.22	Kansas City Chiefs - Jacksonville Jaguars	27:17 ✺
06.11.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Las Vegas Raiders	27:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWLW
- Dallas Cowboys
NFL
11.12.22	Dallas Cowboys - Houston Texans	27:23 ✺
04.12.22	Dallas Cowboys - Indianapolis Colts	54:19 ✺
24.11.22	Dallas Cowboys - New York Giants	28:20 ✺
20.11.22	Minnesota Vikings - Dallas Cowboys	3:40 ✺
13.11.22	Green Bay Packers - Dallas Cowboys	31:28 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
29.08.21	Dallas Cowboys - Jacksonville Jaguars	14:34
14.10.18	Dallas Cowboys - Jacksonville Jaguars	40:7
09.11.14	Jacksonville Jaguars - Dallas Cowboys	17:31

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