Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 9

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: TIAA Bank Field (Jacksonville)


	Jacksonville Jaguars		Las Vegas Raiders

	1	2
	2.2	1.71	Watch
	2.2	1.69
	2.2	1.74
	2.15	1.71
	2.15	1.79
	2.2	1.71	Watch
	2.08	1.77
	2.13	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.03)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

Jacksonville Jaguars
44.5%

Las Vegas Raiders
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacksonville Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Las Vegas Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Raiders than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.2%	0%	69.8%

Jacksonville Jaguars - Las Vegas Raiders Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Jacksonville will win (votes: 16 - 30.2%). Las Vegas will win (votes: 37 - 69.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Vegas: 57.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:24

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).

Jacksonville has a very small chance of recordsim. record (5-12), has currently - 2-6, has a very small chance of playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of win division (3%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win league (<0.1%).

Las Vegas has a small chance of recordsim. record (6-11), has currently - 2-5, has a small chance of playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of win division (1%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win league (0.2%).

This event has small quality 14, small importance 25, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Jacksonville has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Las Vegas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jacksonville won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 79-121.

Including matches at home between the teams Jacksonville won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL
30.10.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Denver Broncos	17:21 ✺
23.10.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - New York Giants	17:23 ✺
16.10.22	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	34:27 ✺
09.10.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Houston Texans	6:13 ✺
02.10.22	Philadelphia Eagles - Jacksonville Jaguars	29:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Las Vegas Raiders
NFL
30.10.22	New Orleans Saints - Las Vegas Raiders	24:0 ✺
23.10.22	Las Vegas Raiders - Houston Texans	38:20 ✺
10.10.22	Kansas City Chiefs - Las Vegas Raiders	30:29 ✺
02.10.22	Las Vegas Raiders - Denver Broncos	32:23 ✺
25.09.22	Tennessee Titans - Las Vegas Raiders	24:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
04.08.22	Las Vegas Raiders - Jacksonville Jaguars	27:11
15.12.19	Las Vegas Raiders - Jacksonville Jaguars	16:20
23.10.16	Jacksonville Jaguars - Las Vegas Raiders	16:33
15.09.13	Las Vegas Raiders - Jacksonville Jaguars	19:9
21.10.12	Las Vegas Raiders - Jacksonville Jaguars	26:23 OT

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