Match Info
USA: NFL - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 26 January 2025, SundayLocation: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | ESPN |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, RTL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
 Netherlands | ESPN 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Fight |
 Portugal | DAZN 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Main Event |
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Kansas City Chiefs |
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Buffalo Bills |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.83 |
|
2 |
 Watch |
 |
1.83 |
|
2 |
|
 |
1.85 |
|
1.99 |
|
 |
1.87 |
|
2.04 |
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 |
1.85 |
|
1.96 |
Watch |
 |
1.83 |
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2 |
|
 |
1.83 |
|
2 |
|
 |
1.85 |
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1.99 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.8) |
|
2 ↓
(2.05) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers) Network on TV: CBS (KBAK-Bakersfield, CA)#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kansas City Chiefs
52% | Buffalo Bills
48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kansas City Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Buffalo Bills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 31 - 64.6%). Buffalo will win (votes: 17 - 35.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 51.1% – 78.1%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:24 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (7 - 3)
- 06:04, Hunt K. (Touchdown),
- 06:04, Butker H. (Extra Point),
- 11:11, Bass T. (Field Goal),
- 2nd Quarter (14 - 13)
- 04:35, Cook J. (Touchdown),
- 04:35, Bass T. (Extra Point),
- 10:47, Worthy X. (Touchdown),
- 10:47, Butker H. (Extra Point),
- 13:05, Mahomes P. (Touchdown),
- 13:05, Butker H. (Extra Point),
- 14:37, Hollins M. (Touchdown),
- 14:37, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
- 3rd Quarter (0 - 6)
- 12:04, Cook J. (Touchdown),
- 12:04, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
- 4th Quarter (11 - 7)
- 04:46, Mahomes P. (Touchdown),
- 04:46, Watson J. (Two-Point Conversion),
- 08:45, Samuel C. (Touchdown),
- 08:45, Bass T. (Extra Point),
- 11:23, Butker H. (Field Goal),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 2. Now both teams are in good shape. Buffalo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Recently Buffalo have a series of home games. The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match. Our prediction for today's Kansas City to win the game is with odds 1.78.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 308:312 (average 23.7:24). Including matches at home between the teams Kansas City won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 177:180 (average 25.3:25.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NFL | | | 17.11.24 | Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs | 30:21 | | 21.01.24 | Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs | 24:27 | | 10.12.23 | Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills | 17:20 | | 16.10.22 | Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills | 20:24 | | 23.01.22 | Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills | 42:36 OT | | 10.10.21 | Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills | 20:38 | | 24.01.21 | Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills | 38:24 |
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