Match Info
USA: NFL - Round 5Date: 7 October 2024, MondayLocation: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | ESPN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
Brazil | ESPN 2, ESPN 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-africa | SuperSport ESPN |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
United-kingdom | DAZN NFL, Sky Sports Main Event |
Usa | NFL Game Pass |
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Kansas City Chiefs |
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New Orleans Saints |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 43.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers) Network on TV: ESPN Deportes#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kansas City Chiefs 67.5% | New Orleans Saints 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kansas City Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)New Orleans Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (+1%)Kansas City Chiefs - New Orleans Saints Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). New Orleans will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 52.6% – 89%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:20 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (7 - 0)
- 08:26, Hunt K. (Touchdown),
- 08:26, Butker H. (Extra Point),
- 2nd Quarter (9 - 7)
- 02:18, Butker H. (Field Goal),
- 06:24, Shaheed R. (Touchdown),
- 06:24, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
- 13:25, Butker H. (Field Goal),
- 14:51, Butker H. (Field Goal),
- 3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
- 04:43, Butker H. (Missed Field Goal),
- 4th Quarter (10 - 6)
- 00:44, Moreau F. (Touchdown),
- 00:44, Grupe B. (Missed Extra Point),
- 03:04, Worthy X. (Touchdown),
- 03:04, Butker H. (Extra Point),
- 11:53, Butker H. (Field Goal),
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 and 10). Kansas City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Recent matches New Orleans is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). In this match Kansas City is a favorite. Our prediction for today's Kansas City to win the game is with odds 1.41.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 123:117 (average 24.6:23.4). Including matches at home between the teams Kansas City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:21
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NFL | | | 13.08.23 | New Orleans Saints - Kansas City Chiefs | 26:24 | | 20.12.20 | New Orleans Saints - Kansas City Chiefs | 29:32 | | 23.10.16 | Kansas City Chiefs - New Orleans Saints | 27:21 | | 09.08.13 | New Orleans Saints - Kansas City Chiefs | 17:13 | | 23.09.12 | New Orleans Saints - Kansas City Chiefs | 24:27 OT |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;