Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 3

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Arena 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport ESPN
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event


	Atlanta Falcons		Kansas City Chiefs

	1	2
	2.4	1.61	Watch
	2.4	1.6
	2.38	1.61	Watch
	2.5	1.59
	2.37	1.59	Watch
	2.4	1.62
	2.4	1.61
	2.38	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.87)	1.61 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBC Universo

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Falcons
40%

Kansas City Chiefs
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Falcons's performance.

Kansas City Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kansas City Chiefs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Atlanta Falcons - Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: Kansas City Chiefs will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
03:53, London D. (Touchdown),
03:53, Koo Y. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 13)
06:15, Rice R. (Touchdown),
06:15, Butker H. (Extra Point),
08:23, Robinson B. (Touchdown),
08:23, Koo Y. (Extra Point),
12:17, Butker H. (Field Goal),
14:54, Butker H. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 9)
05:20, Butker H. (Field Goal),
13:44, Smith-Schuster J. (Touchdown),
13:44, Butker H. (Missed Field Goal),
4th Quarter (3 - 0)
02:08, Koo Y. (Field Goal),

Preview

Atlanta is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kansas City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kansas City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kansas City have a series of home games.

Kansas City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 96-98.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 42-57.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
16.09.24	Philadelphia Eagles - Atlanta Falcons	21:22 ✺
08.09.24	Atlanta Falcons - Pittsburgh Steelers	10:18 ✺
23.08.24	Atlanta Falcons - Jacksonville Jaguars	0:31 ✺
17.08.24	Baltimore Ravens - Atlanta Falcons	13:12 ✺
09.08.24	Miami Dolphins - Atlanta Falcons	20:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL
- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
15.09.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Cincinnati Bengals	26:25 ✺
05.09.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Baltimore Ravens	27:20 ✺
22.08.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Chicago Bears	21:34 ✺
17.08.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Detroit Lions	23:24 ✺
10.08.24	Jacksonville Jaguars - Kansas City Chiefs	26:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
27.12.20	Kansas City Chiefs - Atlanta Falcons	17:14
17.08.18	Atlanta Falcons - Kansas City Chiefs	14:28
04.12.16	Atlanta Falcons - Kansas City Chiefs	28:29
09.09.12	Kansas City Chiefs - Atlanta Falcons	24:40

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