Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 16

Date: 25 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Sweden	CMore Live


	Miami Dolphins		Green Bay Packers

	1	2
	1.56	2.6	Watch
	1.53	2.55
	1.54	2.62
	1.51	2.6
	1.56	2.6
	1.54	2.65
	1.56	2.47
	1.54	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)	2.57 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Dolphins
62.5%

Green Bay Packers
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Green Bay Packers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Dolphins than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Green Bay Packers than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.5%	0%	34.5%

Miami Dolphins - Green Bay Packers Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Green Bay will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:23

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Miami has currently - 8-6, has a good chance of playoffs (81%), has not chance of win division, has not chance of 1st-round bye.

Green Bay has currently - 6-8, has a small chance of playoffs (9%), has not chance of win division, has not chance of 1st-round bye.

This event has quality 49, big importance 73, match rating 61. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Miami could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Miami will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Miami won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 36-58.

Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Dolphins
NFL
17.12.22	Buffalo Bills - Miami Dolphins	32:29 ✺
11.12.22	Los Angeles Chargers - Miami Dolphins	23:17 ✺
04.12.22	San Francisco 49ers - Miami Dolphins	33:17 ✺
27.11.22	Miami Dolphins - Houston Texans	30:15 ✺
13.11.22	Miami Dolphins - Cleveland Browns	39:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Green Bay Packers
NFL
19.12.22	Green Bay Packers - Los Angeles Rams	24:12 ✺
04.12.22	Chicago Bears - Green Bay Packers	19:28 ✺
27.11.22	Philadelphia Eagles - Green Bay Packers	40:33 ✺
17.11.22	Green Bay Packers - Tennessee Titans	17:27 ✺
13.11.22	Green Bay Packers - Dallas Cowboys	31:28 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
11.11.18	Green Bay Packers - Miami Dolphins	31:12
12.10.14	Miami Dolphins - Green Bay Packers	24:27

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