Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 5

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Minnesota Vikings		Kansas City Chiefs

	1	2
	2.6	1.56	Watch
	2.55	1.53
	2.45	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.56
	2.53	1.58
	2.6	1.56
	2.4	1.59
	2.41	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.21)	1.56 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Vikings
38.3%

Kansas City Chiefs
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Vikings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minnesota Vikings's performance.

Kansas City Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kansas City Chiefs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Vikings than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minnesota Vikings that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kansas City Chiefs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Minnesota Vikings - Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Kansas City will win (votes: 14 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:28

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 3).

Minnesota is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kansas City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kansas City will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kansas City to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Minnesota won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 94-76.

Including matches at home between the teams Minnesota won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Vikings
NFL
01.10.23	Carolina Panthers - Minnesota Vikings	13:21 ✺
24.09.23	Minnesota Vikings - Los Angeles Chargers	24:28 ✺
14.09.23	Philadelphia Eagles - Minnesota Vikings	34:28 ✺
10.09.23	Minnesota Vikings - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	17:20 ✺
26.08.23	Minnesota Vikings - Arizona Cardinals	17:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
01.10.23	New York Jets - Kansas City Chiefs	20:23 ✺
24.09.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Chicago Bears	41:10 ✺
17.09.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Kansas City Chiefs	9:17 ✺
07.09.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Detroit Lions	20:21 ✺
26.08.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Cleveland Browns	33:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
27.08.21	Kansas City Chiefs - Minnesota Vikings	28:25
03.11.19	Kansas City Chiefs - Minnesota Vikings	26:23
18.10.15	Minnesota Vikings - Kansas City Chiefs	16:10
23.08.14	Kansas City Chiefs - Minnesota Vikings	12:30

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