Match Info

NFL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Acrisure Stadium (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN, Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 2, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, Sky Sports Main Event
Uruguay	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Pittsburgh Steelers		Houston Texans

	1	2
	2.35	1.63	Watch
	2.45	1.57
	2.27	1.6	Watch
	2.31	1.6	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.3	1.65
	2.3	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.53)	1.62 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Steelers
41%

Houston Texans
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Houston Texans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Steelers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Texans than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Pittsburgh Steelers - Houston Texans Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Houston will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Houston (votes: 6 - 35.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Houston (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3, OT - Pittsburgh (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 38, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 13 - 65%). Houston (votes: 7 - 35%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 0)
08:54, Boswell C. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (3 - 7)
06:32, Kirk C. (Touchdown),
06:32, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
13:00, Boswell C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (0 - 23)
01:53, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
03:37, Anderson Jr. W. (Touchdown),
03:37, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
11:22, Marks W. (Touchdown),
11:22, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
12:21, Bullock C. (Touchdown),
12:21, Fairbairn K. (Missed Extra Point),

Preview

Pittsburgh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Houston is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Houston might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Houston will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 110:100. (average 22:20).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 70:64. (average 23.3:21.3).

Outrights of NFL for now

Houston Texans: 2.04% Pittsburgh Steelers: 0.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
04.01.26	Pittsburgh Steelers - Baltimore Ravens	26:24 ✺
28.12.25	Cleveland Browns - Pittsburgh Steelers	13:6 ✺
21.12.25	Detroit Lions - Pittsburgh Steelers	24:29 ✺
15.12.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Miami Dolphins	28:15 ✺
07.12.25	Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers	22:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WLWWW
- Houston Texans
NFL
04.01.26	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	38:30 ✺
27.12.25	Los Angeles Chargers - Houston Texans	16:20 ✺
21.12.25	Houston Texans - Las Vegas Raiders	23:21 ✺
14.12.25	Houston Texans - Arizona Cardinals	40:20 ✺
07.12.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Houston Texans	10:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
09.08.24	Pittsburgh Steelers - Houston Texans	12:20
01.10.23	Houston Texans - Pittsburgh Steelers	30:6
27.09.20	Pittsburgh Steelers - Houston Texans	28:21
25.12.17	Houston Texans - Pittsburgh Steelers	6:34
20.10.14	Pittsburgh Steelers - Houston Texans	30:23

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