Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	New England Patriots		Tampa Bay Buccaneers

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.7	1.3
	3.35	1.36
	3.2	1.36
	3.46	1.35
	3.45	1.34
	3.68	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.77)	1.34 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Network on TV: NBC

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Current Win Probability

New England Patriots
27.8%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New England Patriots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New England Patriots's form might have worsened.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Buccaneers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New England Patriots, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	0%	68.2%

New England Patriots - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:29

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 6).

Tampa Bay has currently - 2-1, has a good chance of playoffs (83%), has a good chance of win division (54%), has a chance of 1st-round bye (18%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

New England has currently - 1-2, has a chance of playoffs (29%), has a small chance of win division (10%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (1%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match New England is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 95-68.

Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 48-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New England Patriots
NFL
26.09.21	New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints	13:28 ✺
19.09.21	New York Jets - New England Patriots	6:25 ✺
12.09.21	New England Patriots - Miami Dolphins	16:17 ✺
29.08.21	New York Giants - New England Patriots	20:22 ✺
19.08.21	Philadelphia Eagles - New England Patriots	0:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL
26.09.21	Los Angeles Rams - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	34:24 ✺
19.09.21	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons	48:25 ✺
09.09.21	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Dallas Cowboys	31:29 ✺
28.08.21	Houston Texans - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	16:23 ✺
21.08.21	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Tennessee Titans	3:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
05.10.17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New England Patriots	14:19
22.09.13	New England Patriots - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	23:3
16.08.13	New England Patriots - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	25:21
24.08.12	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New England Patriots	30:28

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