The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Mexico Lobos 49.1%
San Diego State Aztecs 50.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
53.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
51.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico Lobos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
San Diego State Aztecs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico Lobos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego State Aztecs than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
New Mexico Lobos - San Diego State Aztecs Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. New Mexico will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). San Diego State will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for New Mexico: 40% – 93.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. New Mexico (votes: 6 - 66.7%). San Diego State (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:22
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (3 - 0)
07:35, Drzewiecki L. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (7 - 14)
01:45, Laubstein J. (Touchdown),
01:45, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
07:34, Sutton L. (Touchdown),
07:34, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
14:01, Brown D. (Touchdown),
14:01, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 3)
06:01, McKinney D. (Touchdown),
06:01, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
14:09, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (0 - 0)
Overtime (6 - 0)
01', Keith C. (Touchdown),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 1.
New Mexico has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
San Diego State is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 115:206. (average 14.4:25.8).
Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 47:89. (average 15.7:29.7).