Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)


	New Orleans Saints		Cincinnati Bengals

	1	2
	2.45	1.6	Watch
	2.3	1.65
	2.42	1.62
	2.33	1.61
	2.46	1.62
	2.5	1.59	Watch
	2.47	1.56
	2.22	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.94)	1.6 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS (KDBC-El Paso, TX)

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Current Win Probability

New Orleans Saints
40.1%

Cincinnati Bengals
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Orleans Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Orleans Saints's form might have worsened.

Cincinnati Bengals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cincinnati Bengals's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Orleans Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Bengals than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati Bengals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.4%	0%	67.6%

New Orleans Saints - Cincinnati Bengals Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. New Orleans will win (votes: 12 - 32.4%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 25 - 67.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 52.5% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:23

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).

New Orleans has a small chance of recordsim. record (7-10), has currently - 2-3, has a chance of playoffs (23%), has a small chance of win division (8%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.2%), has a very small chance of win league (0.5%).

Cincinnati has a small chance of recordsim. record (9-8), has currently - 2-3, has a chance of playoffs (46%), has a chance of win division (19%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (2%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 51, importance 67, match rating 59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cincinnati could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cincinnati will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 61-41.

Including matches at home between the teams New Orleans won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Orleans Saints
NFL
09.10.22	New Orleans Saints - Seattle Seahawks	39:32 ✺
02.10.22	New Orleans Saints - Minnesota Vikings	25:28 ✺
25.09.22	Carolina Panthers - New Orleans Saints	22:14 ✺
18.09.22	New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	10:20 ✺
11.09.22	Atlanta Falcons - New Orleans Saints	26:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW
- Cincinnati Bengals
NFL
09.10.22	Baltimore Ravens - Cincinnati Bengals	19:17 ✺
29.09.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Miami Dolphins	27:15 ✺
25.09.22	New York Jets - Cincinnati Bengals	12:27 ✺
18.09.22	Dallas Cowboys - Cincinnati Bengals	20:17 ✺
11.09.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Pittsburgh Steelers	20:23 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
11.11.18	Cincinnati Bengals - New Orleans Saints	14:51
16.11.14	New Orleans Saints - Cincinnati Bengals	10:27

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