Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 10

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Acrisure Stadium (Pittsburgh) 🌤️ ...


	Pittsburgh Steelers		New Orleans Saints

	1	2
	1.86	1.95	Watch
	1.87	1.95
	1.87	2.02
	1.85	1.96
	1.85	2.06
	1.83	2	Watch
	1.9	1.93
	1.85	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.2)	1.98 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Steelers
51.5%

New Orleans Saints
48.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh Steelers's performance.

New Orleans Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Orleans Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Steelers than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	0%	26.9%

Pittsburgh Steelers - New Orleans Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). New Orleans will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:21

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

Pittsburgh has currently - 2-6, has a very small chance of playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of win division (0.9%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

New Orleans has currently - 3-6, has a small chance of playoffs (14%), has a small chance of win division (12%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

This event has small quality 11, small importance 15, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Pittsburgh is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches New Orleans is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pittsburgh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently New Orleans have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 87-80.

Including matches at home between the teams Pittsburgh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 32-35.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
30.10.22	Philadelphia Eagles - Pittsburgh Steelers	35:13 ✺
23.10.22	Miami Dolphins - Pittsburgh Steelers	16:10 ✺
16.10.22	Pittsburgh Steelers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	20:18 ✺
09.10.22	Buffalo Bills - Pittsburgh Steelers	38:3 ✺
02.10.22	Pittsburgh Steelers - New York Jets	20:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLL
- New Orleans Saints
NFL
07.11.22	New Orleans Saints - Baltimore Ravens	13:27 ✺
30.10.22	New Orleans Saints - Las Vegas Raiders	24:0 ✺
20.10.22	Arizona Cardinals - New Orleans Saints	42:34 ✺
16.10.22	New Orleans Saints - Cincinnati Bengals	26:30 ✺
09.10.22	New Orleans Saints - Seattle Seahawks	39:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
23.12.18	New Orleans Saints - Pittsburgh Steelers	31:28
26.08.16	New Orleans Saints - Pittsburgh Steelers	14:27
30.11.14	Pittsburgh Steelers - New Orleans Saints	32:35

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
01.11.26	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cleveland Browns	✺

Pittsburgh Steelers - New Orleans Saints