Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	San Francisco 49ers		Indianapolis Colts

	1	2
	1.57	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.55
	1.58	2.48
	1.56	2.45
	1.59	2.52
	1.57	2.55
	1.63	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)	2.5 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: NBC

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Current Win Probability

San Francisco 49ers
61.3%

Indianapolis Colts
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Francisco 49ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Francisco 49ers's form might have worsened.

Indianapolis Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Indianapolis Colts's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Francisco 49ers than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Francisco 49ers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Indianapolis Colts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

San Francisco 49ers - Indianapolis Colts Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. San Francisco will win (votes: 8 - 25%). Indianapolis will win (votes: 24 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Indianapolis: 60% – 90%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:19

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Indianapolis has currently - 2-4, has a chance of playoffs (37%), has a chance of win division (19%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.3%), has a very small chance of win league (0.8%).

San Francisco has currently - 2-3, has a chance of playoffs (34%), has a very small chance of win division (2%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.2%), has a very small chance of win league (0.8%).

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Indianapolis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Indianapolis will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Indianapolis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 47-76.

Including matches at home between the teams Indianapolis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Francisco 49ers
NFL
10.10.21	Arizona Cardinals - San Francisco 49ers	17:10 ✺
03.10.21	San Francisco 49ers - Seattle Seahawks	21:28 ✺
26.09.21	San Francisco 49ers - Green Bay Packers	28:30 ✺
19.09.21	Philadelphia Eagles - San Francisco 49ers	11:17 ✺
12.09.21	Detroit Lions - San Francisco 49ers	33:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW
- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
17.10.21	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	31:3 ✺
11.10.21	Baltimore Ravens - Indianapolis Colts	31:25 OT ✺
03.10.21	Miami Dolphins - Indianapolis Colts	17:27 ✺
26.09.21	Tennessee Titans - Indianapolis Colts	25:16 ✺
19.09.21	Indianapolis Colts - Los Angeles Rams	24:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
25.08.18	Indianapolis Colts - San Francisco 49ers	23:17
08.10.17	Indianapolis Colts - San Francisco 49ers	26:23 OT
22.09.13	San Francisco 49ers - Indianapolis Colts	7:27

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