Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 15

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Tampa Bay Buccaneers		Cincinnati Bengals

	1	2
	2.6	1.56	Watch
	2.55	1.53
	2.68	1.52
	2.55	1.53
	2.6	1.56
	2.6	1.56	Watch
	2.4	1.59
	2.47	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.18)	1.54 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS (WKBN-Youngstown, OH)

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
37.7%

Cincinnati Bengals
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tampa Bay Buccaneers's form might have worsened.

Cincinnati Bengals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cincinnati Bengals's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Bengals than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati Bengals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cincinnati Bengals Predictions

Users Predictions: Cincinnati Bengals will win (45 of 51 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.4% – 97.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:26

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 3).

Tampa Bay has currently - 6-7, has a good chance of playoffs (67%), has a good chance of win division (65%), has not chance of 1st-round bye.

Cincinnati has currently - 9-4, has a very good chance of playoffs (97%), has a chance of win division (47%), has a small chance of 1st-round bye (8%).

This event has big quality 75, big importance 82, big match rating 79. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Tampa Bay is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cincinnati in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cincinnati will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Cincinnati to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 98-104.

Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 52-44.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL
11.12.22	San Francisco 49ers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	35:7 ✺
05.12.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New Orleans Saints	17:16 ✺
27.11.22	Cleveland Browns - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	23:17 OT ✺
13.11.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Seattle Seahawks	21:16 ✺
06.11.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Los Angeles Rams	16:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- Cincinnati Bengals
NFL
11.12.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Cleveland Browns	23:10 ✺
04.12.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Kansas City Chiefs	27:24 ✺
27.11.22	Tennessee Titans - Cincinnati Bengals	16:20 ✺
20.11.22	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cincinnati Bengals	30:37 ✺
06.11.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Carolina Panthers	42:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
14.08.21	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cincinnati Bengals	14:19
28.10.18	Cincinnati Bengals - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	37:34
11.08.17	Cincinnati Bengals - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	23:12
24.08.15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cincinnati Bengals	25:11
30.11.14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cincinnati Bengals	13:14

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