Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 6

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	RTL
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Tampa Bay Buccaneers		Detroit Lions

	1	2
	2.4	1.63	Watch
	2.4	1.6
	2.38	1.61	Watch
	2.35	1.61
	2.4	1.63
	2.4	1.62
	2.26	1.66
	2.22	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.28)	1.62 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
40.7%

Detroit Lions
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Detroit Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Lions than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Detroit Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:24

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Tampa Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Detroit will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Detroit to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 177-136.

Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 51-57.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL
01.10.23	New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	9:26 ✺
25.09.23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Philadelphia Eagles	11:25 ✺
17.09.23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Chicago Bears	27:17 ✺
10.09.23	Minnesota Vikings - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	17:20 ✺
26.08.23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Baltimore Ravens	26:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWWW
- Detroit Lions
NFL
08.10.23	Detroit Lions - Carolina Panthers	42:24 ✺
28.09.23	Green Bay Packers - Detroit Lions	20:34 ✺
24.09.23	Detroit Lions - Atlanta Falcons	20:6 ✺
17.09.23	Detroit Lions - Seattle Seahawks	31:37 OT ✺
07.09.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Detroit Lions	20:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
26.12.20	Detroit Lions - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7:47
15.12.19	Detroit Lions - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	17:38
24.08.18	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Detroit Lions	30:33
10.12.17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Detroit Lions	21:24
07.12.14	Detroit Lions - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	34:17
24.11.13	Detroit Lions - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	21:24

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