Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 17

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: FedEx Field (Landover, MD)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Washington Commanders		Atlanta Falcons

	1	2
	1.53	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.7
	1.53	2.57	Watch
	1.5	2.56
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.6
	1.53	2.6
	1.53	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	2.59 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBC Universo

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Current Win Probability

Washington Commanders
63.1%

Atlanta Falcons
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Commanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Atlanta Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	0%	45%

Washington Commanders - Atlanta Falcons Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Atlanta will win (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
05:27, Zaccheaus O. (Touchdown),
05:27, Gonzalez Z. (Extra Point),
09:50, Robinson B. (Touchdown),
09:50, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 10)
10:36, Robinson B. (Touchdown),
10:36, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
14:54, Patterson R. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
07:47, Ertz Z. (Touchdown),
07:47, Gonzalez Z. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (10 - 7)
01:57, Rodriguez C. (Touchdown),
01:57, Gonzalez Z. (Extra Point),
10:25, Gonzalez Z. (Field Goal),
13:41, Pitts K. (Touchdown),
13:41, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
14:58, Patterson R. (Missed Field Goal),
Overtime (6 - 0)
07:15, Ertz Z. (Touchdown),

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Washington won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Washington will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Washington won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 189:203 (average 21:22.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Washington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 50:75 (average 16.7:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Commanders
NFL
22.12.24	Washington Commanders - Philadelphia Eagles	36:33 ✺
15.12.24	New Orleans Saints - Washington Commanders	19:20 ✺
01.12.24	Washington Commanders - Tennessee Titans	42:19 ✺
24.11.24	Washington Commanders - Dallas Cowboys	26:34 ✺
14.11.24	Philadelphia Eagles - Washington Commanders	26:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL
- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
22.12.24	Atlanta Falcons - New York Giants	34:7 ✺
16.12.24	Las Vegas Raiders - Atlanta Falcons	9:15 ✺
08.12.24	Minnesota Vikings - Atlanta Falcons	42:21 ✺
01.12.24	Atlanta Falcons - Los Angeles Chargers	13:17 ✺
17.11.24	Denver Broncos - Atlanta Falcons	38:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
15.10.23	Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders	16:24
27.11.22	Washington Commanders - Atlanta Falcons	19:13
03.10.21	Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders	30:34
22.08.19	Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders	7:19
04.11.18	Washington Commanders - Atlanta Falcons	14:38
11.08.16	Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders	23:17
11.10.15	Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders	25:19 OT

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