Match Info

NCAA

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers		Missouri State Bears

	1	2
	1.99	1.77
	1.98	1.79
	2.08	1.82
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2.04	1.81
	2.01	1.83
	1.92	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.74)	1.78 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
47.1%

Missouri State Bears
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Kentucky Hilltoppers's form might have worsened.

Missouri State Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Missouri State Bears's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Missouri State Bears Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Western Kentucky will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Missouri State will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Missouri State (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Missouri State (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Missouri State (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 3)
08:22, Glenn B. (Touchdown),
08:22, Campbell K. (Extra Point),
12:44, Obeid Y. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (14 - 3)
08:34, Obeid Y. (Field Goal),
10:03, Stafford J. (Touchdown),
10:03, Campbell K. (Extra Point),
14:22, Allen A. (Touchdown),
14:22, Campbell K. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (3 - 7)
07:37, Myers I. (Touchdown),
07:37, Obeid Y. (Extra Point),
12:55, Campbell K. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (10 - 0)
03:43, Campbell K. (Field Goal),
09:14, Allen A. (Touchdown),
09:14, Campbell K. (Extra Point),

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Western Kentucky (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Missouri State could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Western Kentucky has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Western Kentucky has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers football
NCAA College Football
01.10.26	New Mexico State Aggies - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	34:13 ✺
26.09.26	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Mercyhurst Lakers	52:7 ✺
19.09.26	Indiana Hoosiers - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	38:0 ✺
12.09.26	Georgia Bulldogs - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	70:20 ✺
05.09.26	Nevada Wolf Pack - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	49:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL
- Missouri State Bears football
NCAA College Football
26.09.26	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Missouri State Bears	34:24 ✺
19.09.26	Missouri State Bears - Marshall Thundering Herd	24:30 ✺
12.09.26	Missouri State Bears - Lindenwood Lions	48:14 ✺
05.09.26	Texas A&M Aggies - Missouri State Bears	50:0 ✺
18.12.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Missouri State Bears	34:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
27.09.25	Missouri State Bears - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	22:27

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