Match Info
SANFL - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 6 September 2025, SaturdayLocation: Adelaide Oval (Adelaide)
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Adelaide |
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Norwood |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.46 |
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2.65 |
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1.42 |
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2.6 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↓ (1.49) |
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2.63 ↑ (2.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 150.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Adelaide 64.6% | Norwood 35.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Norwood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwood than the current prediction. (+2.9%)Adelaide - Norwood Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:69 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (13 - 20)
- 2nd Quarter (21 - 26)
- 3rd Quarter (20 - 35)
- 4th Quarter (16 - 23)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.Recent performances by Adelaide have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Norwood is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Recently, Adelaide has had a series of away games. Adelaide will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1530:1565. (average 76.5:78.3).Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 326:220. (average 108.7:73.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| SANFL | | | 01.08.25 | Norwood - Adelaide | 63:83 | | 04.05.25 | Norwood - Adelaide | 68:89 | | 12.07.24 | Norwood - Adelaide | 102:39 | | 10.05.24 | Norwood - Adelaide | 72:54 | | 26.08.23 | Norwood - Adelaide | 93:74 | | 26.05.23 | Norwood - Adelaide | 36:60 | | 11.09.22 | Adelaide - Norwood | 70:81 |
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