Match Info

AFL Women - Round 10

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Location: Ikon Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Melbourne Demons		Richmond Tigers

	1	X	2
	1.02		13
	1.04	100.00	8.00
	1.04		7.95
	1.05		9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↑ (1.02)	25 ↓ (100)	9.64 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 90.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-37)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Demons
87%

Draw
3.6%

Richmond Tigers
9.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

89%

0.9%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 64:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (28 - 7)
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
3rd Quarter (40 - 6)
4th Quarter (19 - 12)

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, Melbourne enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 206:112 (averaging 51.5:28 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Melbourne against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 152:74 goals (averaging 50.7:24.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
3	Melbourne Demons W	10	8	0	2	631:356	177.25	32
13	Richmond W	10	4	0	6	385:559	68.87	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Demons Women
AFL Women
10.10.26	Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons	61:39 ✺
04.10.26	Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons	21:42 ✺
25.09.26	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	34:65 ✺
18.09.26	Melbourne Demons - Carlton Blues	58:24 ✺
12.09.26	Melbourne Demons - Port Adelaide Power	74:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW
- Richmond Tigers Women
AFL Women
10.10.26	Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows	30:62 ✺
02.10.26	Richmond Tigers - Geelong Cats	20:54 ✺
25.09.26	Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers	76:21 ✺
19.09.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Richmond Tigers	61:68 ✺
12.09.26	Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints	58:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
05.09.25	Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers	57:20
19.10.24	Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers	51:38
14.01.22	Richmond Tigers - Melbourne Demons	38:54
06.02.21	Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers	44:16

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