Match Info

AFL Women - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Ikon Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2


	Carlton Blues		Collingwood Magpies

	1	X	2
	1.03		12
	1.03		8
	1.07		8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 (1.04)	↓	9.4 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 85.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-33)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlton Blues
90%

Collingwood Magpies
10%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

87.4%

1.2%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 60:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (8 - 7)
2nd Quarter (20 - 8)
3rd Quarter (32 - 7)
4th Quarter (8 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 2.

In this match, Carlton is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 237:271. (average 26.3:30.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 205:243. (average 25.6:30.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
6	Carlton Blues W	10	7	0	3	476:358	132.96	28
16	Collingwood Magpies W	10	1	0	9	315:556	56.65	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlton Blues Women
AFL Women
30.08.26	Fremantle Dockers - Carlton Blues	42:48 ✺
23.08.26	Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows	50:23 ✺
09.08.26	St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues	40:66 ✺
22.11.25	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	67:32 ✺
15.11.25	Hawthorn Hawks - Carlton Blues	33:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW
- Collingwood Magpies Women
AFL Women
30.08.26	Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks	26:54 ✺
22.08.26	Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers	30:50 ✺
15.08.26	Richmond Tigers - Collingwood Magpies	46:28 ✺
01.11.25	Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions	32:52 ✺
26.10.25	Gold Coast Suns - Collingwood Magpies	24:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
14.08.25	Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies	45:21
27.10.24	Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues	28:32
15.10.23	Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies	10:27
25.08.22	Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies	18:36
09.01.22	Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies	25:44
28.01.21	Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies	27:33
15.02.20	Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies	24:39

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