Match Info

AFL Women - Round 2

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Ikon Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV, Fox Sports MORE
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4


	Carlton Blues		Adelaide Crows

	1	X	2
	1.65		2.25
	1.65		2.05
	1.71		2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)	↓	2.14 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 96.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlton Blues
56.1%

Adelaide Crows
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

1.8%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlton Blues's performance.

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 50:47

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 0)
2nd Quarter (13 - 8)
3rd Quarter (13 - 15)
4th Quarter (14 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 1.

Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carlton could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 144:271. (average 24:45.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 56:108. (average 28:54).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
6	Carlton Blues W	10	7	0	3	476:358	132.96	28
9	Adelaide Crows W	10	5	0	5	470:459	102.40	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlton Blues Women
AFL Women
09.08.26	St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues	40:66 ✺
22.11.25	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	67:32 ✺
15.11.25	Hawthorn Hawks - Carlton Blues	33:79 ✺
07.11.25	Carlton Blues - West Coast Eagles	60:19 ✺
31.10.25	West Coast Eagles - Carlton Blues	22:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW
- Adelaide Crows Women
AFL Women
15.08.26	Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans	53:61 ✺
14.11.25	Melbourne Demons - Adelaide Crows	60:49 ✺
08.11.25	Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints	60:16 ✺
02.11.25	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	29:17 ✺
24.10.25	Adelaide Crows - Port Adelaide Power	45:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
05.02.22	Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows	12:51
29.02.20	Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues	28:36
30.03.19	Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues	63:18
10.02.19	Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows	44:57
03.03.18	Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues	55:20
18.02.17	Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues	17:14

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