Match Info
AFL - Round 1Date: 14 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL |
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Collingwood Magpies |
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Adelaide Crows |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.56 |
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2.45 |
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 |
1.6 |
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2.15 |
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 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.78) |
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2.3 ↑
(2.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Collingwood Magpies
59.3% | Adelaide Crows
40.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collingwood Magpies's performance.Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide Crows might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:80 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (1 - 15)
- 01:58, Cumming I. (G),
- 03:07, Pedlar L. (Behind),
- 07:19, Neal-Bullen A. (G),
- 11:06, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
- 13:27, Keays B. (Behind),
- 24:18, Lipinski P. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (31 - 20)
- 01:23, Crisp J. (G),
- 03:09, (Behind Rushed),
- 03:54, Daicos N. (Behind),
- 04:58, Steele R. (Behind),
- 06:56, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 09:11, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:43, Daicos N. (G),
- 12:11, McCreery B. (Behind),
- 13:31, Rachele J. (G),
- 15:41, Fogarty D. (Behind),
- 21:29, Steele R. (G),
- 24:24, Pedlar L. (Behind),
- 26:25, McCreery B. (G),
- 27:48, Schultz L. (Behind),
- 28:34, Daicos N. (Behind),
- 30:01, Fogarty D. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (14 - 41)
- 00:52, Rachele J. (Behind),
- 01:23, Walker T. (Behind),
- 03:06, Cumming I. (G),
- 05:03, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 06:36, Cook B. (G),
- 08:17, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
- 09:48, Steele R. (G),
- 11:37, Soligo J. (G),
- 15:18, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 17:41, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
- 18:44, Pedlar L. (G),
- 20:56, Perryman H. (Behind),
- 24:06, Schultz L. (G),
- 26:14, Walker T. (Behind),
- 30:09, Cameron D. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (33 - 17)
- 01:39, Schultz L. (G),
- 03:55, Peatling J. (Behind),
- 06:07, Elliott J. (G),
- 07:41, Allan E. (Behind),
- 09:59, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:09, Membrey T. (Behind),
- 12:23, Membrey T. (G),
- 14:51, Fogarty D. (G),
- 16:36, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:47, Keays B. (G),
- 22:53, Berry S. (Behind),
- 23:45, Elliott J. (G),
- 26:00, Cook B. (Behind),
- 27:11, Daicos N. (G),
- 29:07, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 4.Collingwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1466:1303. (average 77.2:68.6).Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 697:655. (average 87.1:81.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 04.09.25 | Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies | 55:79 | | 16.08.25 | Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies | 59:56 | | 16.05.25 | Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows | 78:68 | | 17.05.24 | Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows | 78:74 | | 24.06.23 | Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows | 82:80 | | 30.04.23 | Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies | 58:59 | | 15.07.22 | Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies | 86:91 |
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