The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Adelaide Crows 65%
Draw 1.5%
Collingwood Magpies 33.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.1%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:73
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (33 - 20)
2nd Quarter (15 - 20)
01:41, Daicos N. (Behind),
04:56, Walker T. (G),
06:33, Walker T. (Behind),
08:58, Thiltorpe R. (G),
13:53, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
14:53, Keays B. (Behind),
22:59, Pendlebury S. (G),
26:57, Howe J. (G),
28:07, (Behind Rushed),
29:31, McStay D. (G),
3rd Quarter (12 - 28)
01:39, Lipinski P. (Behind),
03:01, (Behind Rushed),
05:10, Rachele J. (G),
07:50, McStay D. (Behind),
09:41, Sidebottom S. (G),
11:49, Harrison H. (Behind),
16:19, Harrison H. (G),
17:49, Anderson A. (G),
21:46, De Goey J. (G),
31:05, Keays B. (G),
4th Quarter (14 - 40)
01:04, Rachele J. (Behind),
08:33, Daicos N. (G),
12:36, Membrey T. (G),
14:19, Thiltorpe R. (G),
15:26, Allan E. (Behind),
16:14, Allan E. (G),
19:27, Allan E. (G),
22:30, West C. (Behind),
22:56, McCreery B. (G),
26:41, De Goey J. (Behind),
27:41, Rankine I. (Behind),
30:20, Crisp J. (Behind),
30:36, Membrey T. (G),
32:23, Murray T. (G),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
Adelaide is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Collingwood is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Collingwood has had a series of home games.
Adelaide could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 1396:1545. (average 69.8:77.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 648:769. (average 58.9:69.9).
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