Match Info

AFL - Round 13

Date: 8 June 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2


	Collingwood Magpies		Melbourne Demons

	1	X	2
	1.91		1.91
	1.8		1.9
				Watch
	1.85	81.00	1.85
	1.85		1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.1)	20.25	1.88 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Collingwood Magpies
48.1%

Draw
4.4%

Melbourne Demons
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Demons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Collingwood will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:90

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (26 - 22)
01:12, Pickett K. (G),
02:39, (Behind Rushed),
06:39, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
07:44, Pickett K. (G),
10:58, Daicos N. (G),
13:11, Membrey T. (Behind),
14:22, De Goey J. (G),
16:59, Petty H. (G),
18:57, Pendlebury S. (Behind),
19:59, McStay D. (G),
21:49, (Behind Rushed),
23:26, Podhajski M. (G),
24:56, Fritsch B. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (13 - 15)
01:34, Van Rooyen J. (G),
05:28, Langford H. (Behind),
06:51, De Goey J. (G),
11:33, Pickett L. (Behind),
27:29, Kentfield L. (G),
31:27, Daicos N. (G),
34:23, Pickett K. (Behind),
36:07, McStay D. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (21 - 18)
00:38, Steele R. (G),
04:06, Podhajski M. (Behind),
04:34, Allan E. (Behind),
10:37, McStay D. (G),
13:07, Petty H. (G),
15:08, Fritsch B. (G),
19:14, De Goey J. (Behind),
23:07, Buller J. (G),
24:14, Langford H. (G),
4th Quarter (15 - 28)
01:51, Buller J. (G),
04:08, Windsor C. (Behind),
06:19, Fritsch B. (G),
13:09, Bowey J. (Behind),
14:25, Fritsch B. (G),
15:48, Schultz L. (Behind),
17:25, Petty H. (Behind),
18:05, Anderson A. (G),
19:50, McStay D. (Behind),
20:54, Cross P. (G),
25:56, De Goey J. (Behind),
26:25, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
28:48, Pickett K. (G),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 5.

Collingwood is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Melbourne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1620:1480. (average 81:74).

Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 631:569. (average 78.9:71.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Collingwood Magpies
AFL
30.05.26	Western Bulldogs - Collingwood Magpies	97:93 ✺
23.05.26	Collingwood Magpies - West Coast Eagles	92:82 ✺
15.05.26	Sydney Swans - Collingwood Magpies	81:75 ✺
09.05.26	Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies	122:68 ✺
30.04.26	Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks	93:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLT
- Melbourne Demons
AFL
31.05.26	Melbourne Demons - Greater Western Sydney Giants	70:119 ✺
24.05.26	Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons	93:90 ✺
16.05.26	Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks	120:81 ✺
09.05.26	Melbourne Demons - West Coast Eagles	99:67 ✺
03.05.26	Sydney Swans - Melbourne Demons	131:114 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL
22.08.25	Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons	82:76
09.06.25	Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies	71:72
23.08.24	Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies	57:103
10.06.24	Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons	89:51
07.09.23	Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons	60:53
12.06.23	Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies	66:62
05.08.22	Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies	89:96

Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide