Match Info
AFL - Round 24Date: 21 August 2026, FridayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL TV, Nine |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 2 |
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Collingwood Magpies |
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Brisbane Lions |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.2 |
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1.36 |
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3.05 |
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1.32 |
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Watch |
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3.25 |
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1.33 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.17 ↑ (3.1) |
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1.34 ↓ (1.38) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 184.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-24)
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Collingwood Magpies 29.7% | Brisbane Lions 70.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+0.5%)Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:104 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (21 - 33)
- 00:42, Morris L. (G),
- 01:48, Allan E. (G),
- 06:36, Membrey T. (Behind),
- 07:58, Hayes W. (Behind),
- 09:30, Zorko D. (Behind),
- 09:46, McKenna C. (G),
- 11:19, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
- 14:18, Ashcroft W. (G),
- 16:13, McKenna C. (G),
- 18:19, Lohmann K. (Behind),
- 20:23, Anderson A. (G),
- 23:32, Anderson A. (Behind),
- 27:18, Daicos N. (G),
- 29:39, Draper S. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (20 - 30)
- 02:00, Anderson A. (G),
- 05:02, Morris L. (G),
- 06:49, Morris L. (G),
- 10:56, Morris L. (G),
- 17:52, Hipwood E. (G),
- 21:29, (Behind Rushed),
- 22:23, West C. (G),
- 26:36, Allen O. (G),
- 28:41, Anderson A. (Behind),
- 31:30, Membrey T. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (13 - 40)
- 01:36, West C. (Behind),
- 03:06, Cameron C. (G),
- 07:29, Hipwood E. (Behind),
- 09:13, Hipwood E. (G),
- 10:33, McKenna C. (G),
- 14:37, Neale L. (Behind),
- 15:32, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 17:21, Houston D. (G),
- 18:42, McKenna C. (G),
- 22:53, Allen O. (G),
- 26:10, Draper S. (Behind),
- 28:15, Rayner C. (G),
- 30:10, West C. (G),
- 4th Quarter (42 - 56)
- 01:26, Allen O. (G),
- 03:03, Morris L. (G),
- 05:14, Allen O. (G),
- 08:17, Hipwood E. (G),
- 09:54, Fletcher J. (Behind),
- 11:56, Hipwood E. (Behind),
- 13:03, De Goey J. (G),
- 14:11, West C. (G),
- 17:09, Anderson A. (G),
- 20:59, Swadling S. (G),
- 22:49, Harrison H. (G),
- 24:34, Membrey T. (G),
- 26:04, Morris L. (G),
- 27:50, Morris L. (G),
- 29:03, De Goey J. (G),
- 30:29, Morris L. (G),
- 34:11, Cameron C. (G),
- 37:43, Bailey Z. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 2.Right now, both teams are showing solid form. In this match, Brisbane is the team to beat. We predict that Brisbane will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1765:1789. (average 88.3:89.5).Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 765:833. (average 85:92.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 02.04.26 | Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies | 119:65 | | 20.09.25 | Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions | 71:100 | | 02.08.25 | Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions | 65:92 | | 17.04.25 | Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies | 53:105 | | 17.08.24 | Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions | 79:78 | | 28.03.24 | Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies | 72:92 | | 30.09.23 | Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions | 90:86 |
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