Match Info

AFL - Round 24

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 1


	North Melbourne Kangaroos		Adelaide Crows

	1	2
	5.6	1.16
	5.2	1.11
			Watch
	5.5	1.12
	5.25	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↓ (7.5)	1.13 ↑ (1.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-36)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Melbourne Kangaroos
17.3%

Adelaide Crows
82.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.7%

87.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -9.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Adelaide (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:107

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (21 - 27)
00:38, Konstanty J. (Behind),
01:25, Keays B. (G),
04:04, (Behind Rushed),
05:08, Keays B. (Behind),
06:58, Thiltorpe R. (G),
09:17, Curtis P. (G),
10:36, Keays B. (Behind),
12:40, Keays B. (G),
14:34, Scott B. (G),
18:24, Fogarty D. (G),
23:29, Stephens D. (G),
26:48, Trembath C. (Behind),
33:00, (Behind Rushed),
2nd Quarter (27 - 32)
02:21, Thiltorpe R. (G),
03:31, Konstanty J. (Behind),
04:45, Fogarty D. (Behind),
07:17, Laird R. (G),
09:33, Dowling B. (G),
13:34, Dowling B. (G),
17:32, Trembath C. (G),
21:37, Comben C. (Behind),
23:58, Stephens D. (G),
26:02, Walker T. (G),
28:29, Banch Z. (G),
29:54, Wardlaw G. (Behind),
30:43, Curtis P. (G),
33:38, Berry S. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (19 - 33)
03:02, Dawson J. (Behind),
04:45, Peatling J. (G),
07:55, Peatling J. (G),
10:43, Parker L. (G),
12:40, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
14:04, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
17:22, Keays B. (G),
20:52, Trembath C. (G),
22:13, Taylor Z. (G),
23:41, Curtis P. (G),
25:47, Neil-Bullen A. (G),
27:57, Harvey C. (Behind),
4th Quarter (33 - 21)
02:01, Smith B. (G),
04:01, (Behind Rushed),
05:59, Konstanty J. (Behind),
08:18, Thiltorpe R. (G),
12:20, Powell T. (G),
14:13, Davies-Uniacke L. (G),
16:10, Harvey C. (G),
18:05, Darling J. (G),
20:05, Peatling J. (G),
21:38, Peatling J. (Behind),
23:57, Curtis P. (Behind),
28:25, Trembath C. (Behind),
32:03, Trembath C. (G),
33:15, Soligo J. (Behind),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 0.

North Melbourne is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Adelaide is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Adelaide has had a series of home games.

In this match, Adelaide is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1661:2071. (average 83.1:103.6).

Including home matches between the teams, North Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 874:873. (average 97.1:97).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Melbourne Kangaroos
AFL
16.08.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Richmond Tigers	135:87 ✺
09.08.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - North Melbourne Kangaroos	133:79 ✺
02.08.25	St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos	78:69 ✺
26.07.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	49:150 ✺
19.07.25	Sydney Swans - North Melbourne Kangaroos	84:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL
- Adelaide Crows
AFL
16.08.25	Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies	59:56 ✺
10.08.25	West Coast Eagles - Adelaide Crows	78:87 ✺
01.08.25	Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks	101:87 ✺
26.07.25	Adelaide Crows - Port Adelaide Power	133:35 ✺
20.07.25	Adelaide Crows - Gold Coast Suns	107:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL
30.03.25	Adelaide Crows - North Melbourne Kangaroos	114:78
26.04.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	81:138
30.06.23	Adelaide Crows - North Melbourne Kangaroos	138:72
13.08.22	Adelaide Crows - North Melbourne Kangaroos	103:74
25.06.22	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	58:115
22.08.21	Adelaide Crows - North Melbourne Kangaroos	98:54
10.04.21	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	68:109

North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide