The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Geelong Cats 66.6%
Greater Western Sydney Giants 33.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.1%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Greater Western Sydney Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Geelong Cats that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greater Western Sydney Giants could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. GWS will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:79
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (22 - 32)
01:24, Hogan J. (Behind),
02:40, Neale S. (Behind),
03:19, O'Halloran X. (G),
05:18, Close B. (G),
06:35, Stringer J. (G),
09:06, Henry O. (Behind),
11:13, Greene T. (Behind),
11:36, Greene T. (G),
14:09, Stringer J. (G),
19:34, Hogan J. (G),
21:50, Dangerfield P. (G),
24:14, (Behind Rushed),
25:11, Mannagh S. (G),
27:13, Blicavs M. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (40 - 29)
02:59, Duncan M. (G),
04:55, Hogan J. (G),
06:08, (Behind Rushed),
06:55, Cameron J. (G),
08:42, Neale S. (G),
11:02, (Behind Rushed),
12:36, Cadman A. (G),
14:35, Stringer J. (Behind),
15:54, Dempsey O. (Behind),
17:16, Cadman A. (Behind),
18:32, Ward C. (G),
20:06, Cameron J. (G),
22:52, Henry O. (G),
25:02, Cadman A. (Behind),
25:56, (Behind Rushed),
27:33, Hogan J. (G),
28:41, Miers G. (G),
30:37, Stengle T. (Behind),
32:20, Miers G. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (16 - 24)
01:48, Stengle T. (Behind),
03:27, Hogan J. (G),
09:17, (Behind Rushed),
10:34, Stengle T. (Behind),
12:09, Dempsey O. (G),
18:38, Green T. (G),
22:22, Thomas H. (G),
25:05, Cameron J. (Behind),
27:08, Hogan J. (G),
28:11, Stengle T. (G),
4th Quarter (23 - 20)
00:24, Holmes M. (Behind),
01:16, Mannagh S. (G),
04:23, Hogan J. (G),
06:06, Green T. (Behind),
07:05, Delana J. (Behind),
08:15, Dempsey O. (G),
11:39, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
16:05, Hogan J. (G),
17:47, Stengle T. (G),
20:38, Neale S. (Behind),
22:37, Stengle T. (Behind),
24:53, Riccardi J. (G),
28:19, Blicavs M. (Behind),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 2.
Geelong is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
GWS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
GWS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Geelong might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Geelong will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1310:1093. (average 87.3:72.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 685:569. (average 85.6:71.1).