Match Info
AFL - Round 4Date: 4 April 2025, FridayLocation: GMHBA Stadium (Geelong)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
South-africa | SuperSport ESPN |
United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
Usa | Sport 24 At Sea |
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Geelong Cats |
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Melbourne Demons |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.22 |
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4.5 |
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 |
1.18 |
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4.18 |
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 |
1.2 |
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4.32 |
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 |
1.2 |
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4.33 |
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1.18 |
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4.52 |
Watch |
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1.18 |
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4.18 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.19 ↓ (1.27) |
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4.34 ↑ (3.72) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-29)
- The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

Watch this match and AFL with fuboTV (for US customers) Network on TV: FOX Sports 2#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Geelong Cats 78.4% | Melbourne Demons 21.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 101:72 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (23 - 8)
- 02:32, Petracca C. (G),
- 07:08, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:39, Dempsey O. (Behind),
- 09:15, Cameron J. (G),
- 11:16, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 14:53, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:26, (Behind Rushed),
- 20:24, Close B. (Behind),
- 21:49, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 28:07, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 30:01, Stanley R. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (21 - 21)
- 02:00, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 04:08, Stengle T. (Behind),
- 05:03, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 08:10, Bowes J. (G),
- 11:54, Petracca C. (G),
- 16:27, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 19:50, De Koning S. (G),
- 21:02, Langford H. (G),
- 23:06, Turner D. (Behind),
- 23:59, Fritsch B. (Behind),
- 24:27, Langdon E. (Behind),
- 29:37, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (15 - 14)
- 04:49, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 07:01, Turner D. (G),
- 12:57, Henry O. (Behind),
- 13:50, Bowes J. (G),
- 16:07, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 19:49, Langdon E. (G),
- 21:23, Sparrow T. (Behind),
- 22:12, Oliver C. (Behind),
- 23:21, Clohesy T. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (26 - 3)
- 01:55, Fritsch B. (Behind),
- 03:27, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 06:32, Neale S. (G),
- 07:41, Fritsch B. (Behind),
- 08:30, Mannagh S. (G),
- 16:05, Stengle T. (G),
- 19:13, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 21:52, Stengle T. (G),
- 25:03, Neale S. (Behind),
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 17).Last 5 head-to-head matches Geelong won 2. In this match Geelong is a favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Geelong won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1400:1168 (average 82.4:68.7). Including matches at home between the teams Geelong won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 940:635 (average 94:63.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 04.05.24 | Melbourne Demons - Geelong Cats | 74:66 | | 22.06.23 | Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons | 78:63 | | 07.07.22 | Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons | 91:63 | | 10.09.21 | Melbourne Demons - Geelong Cats | 125:42 | | 21.08.21 | Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons | 77:81 | | 11.04.21 | Melbourne Demons - Geelong Cats | 85:60 | | 28.06.20 | Melbourne Demons - Geelong Cats | 44:47 |
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