Match Info

AFL Women - Round 1

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 3


	North Melbourne Kangaroos		Geelong Cats

	1	X	2
	1.05		10
	1.09		6
				Watch
	1.09		7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↑ (1.07)	↓	7.67 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 95.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-27)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Melbourne Kangaroos
87.7%

Geelong Cats
12.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

85.9%

0.9%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 62:35

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (13 - 14)
2nd Quarter (25 - 2)
3rd Quarter (39 - 9)
4th Quarter (23 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 4.

In this match, North Melbourne is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 325:156. (average 40.6:19.5).

Including home matches between the teams, North Melbourne won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 90:70. (average 30:23.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	North Melbourne W	10	9	0	1	650:258	251.94	36
2	Geelong Cats W	10	9	0	1	719:430	167.21	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Melbourne Kangaroos Women
AFL Women
29.11.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Brisbane Lions	56:16 ✺
21.11.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	46:36 ✺
07.11.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Hawthorn Hawks	42:3 ✺
31.10.25	Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos	18:67 ✺
25.10.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - St Kilda Saints	67:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW
- Geelong Cats Women
AFL Women
01.11.25	Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons	45:59 ✺
25.10.25	Western Bulldogs - Geelong Cats	26:37 ✺
17.10.25	West Coast Eagles - Geelong Cats	50:19 ✺
11.10.25	Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants	72:45 ✺
05.10.25	Geelong Cats - Carlton Blues	37:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
16.08.25	Geelong Cats - North Melbourne Kangaroos	21:51
08.09.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	36:36
15.09.23	Geelong Cats - North Melbourne Kangaroos	22:31
05.11.22	Geelong Cats - North Melbourne Kangaroos	14:16
16.09.22	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	28:16
08.01.22	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	26:18
30.01.21	Geelong Cats - North Melbourne Kangaroos	9:71

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