Match Info

AFL Women - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: GMHBA Stadium (Geelong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	Discovery+


	Geelong Cats		Melbourne Demons

	1	2
	4	1.25
	3.7	1.22
			Watch
	4.1	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.6)	1.23 ↓ (1.24)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geelong Cats
23.9%

Melbourne Demons
76.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

74.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (9 - 8)
2nd Quarter (8 - 13)
3rd Quarter (13 - 32)
4th Quarter (15 - 6)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 115:161. (average 38.3:53.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 65:116. (average 32.5:58).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geelong Cats Women
AFL Women
25.10.25	Western Bulldogs - Geelong Cats	26:37 ✺
17.10.25	West Coast Eagles - Geelong Cats	50:19 ✺
11.10.25	Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants	72:45 ✺
05.10.25	Geelong Cats - Carlton Blues	37:55 ✺
25.09.25	Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks	35:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL
- Melbourne Demons Women
AFL Women
25.10.25	Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons	45:36 ✺
17.10.25	Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans	65:21 ✺
12.10.25	Fremantle Dockers - Melbourne Demons	40:35 ✺
03.10.25	Melbourne Demons - Essendon Bombers	36:22 ✺
25.09.25	Melbourne Demons - Gold Coast Suns	93:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
31.08.24	Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons	40:42
18.11.23	Melbourne Demons - Geelong Cats	45:50
28.09.23	Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons	25:74

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