Match Info

AFL Women - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Harrup Park (Mackay)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 7


	Gold Coast Suns		Melbourne Demons

	1	X	2
	3		1.4
	2.7		1.4
	2.65		1.39
	2.8		1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3.5)	↓	1.4 ↑ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 86.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gold Coast Suns
33.5%

Melbourne Demons
66.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.3%

1.8%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gold Coast Suns's performance.

Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Demons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:49

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (13 - 16)
2nd Quarter (19 - 1)
3rd Quarter (19 - 14)
4th Quarter (10 - 8)

Preview

Gold Coast arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Melbourne shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Melbourne could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Melbourne holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Gold Coast in today's match, at odds of 2.79.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Gold Coast has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 76:245 (averaging 19:61.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gold Coast against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 44:114 goals (averaging 22:57 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
3	Melbourne Demons W	10	8	0	2	631:356	177.25	32
5	Gold Coast Suns W	10	7	0	3	493:355	138.87	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast Suns Women
AFL Women
03.10.26	Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns	20:40 ✺
27.09.26	Gold Coast Suns - St Kilda Saints	69:39 ✺
19.09.26	Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns	10:51 ✺
12.09.26	Gold Coast Suns - Collingwood Magpies	62:32 ✺
05.09.26	Port Adelaide Power - Gold Coast Suns	14:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWWW
- Melbourne Demons Women
AFL Women
04.10.26	Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons	21:42 ✺
25.09.26	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	34:65 ✺
18.09.26	Melbourne Demons - Carlton Blues	58:24 ✺
12.09.26	Melbourne Demons - Port Adelaide Power	74:23 ✺
06.09.26	West Coast Eagles - Melbourne Demons	44:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
25.09.25	Melbourne Demons - Gold Coast Suns	93:6
15.10.22	Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons	9:58
05.02.22	Melbourne Demons - Gold Coast Suns	38:26
29.01.21	Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons	35:56

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