The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Essendon Bombers 30.8%
Draw 7%
Gold Coast Suns 62.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
1.8%
57.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
1.2%
83.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Essendon Bombers's form might have worsened.
Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (+21.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gold Coast Suns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 52:31
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 8)
2nd Quarter (2 - 14)
3rd Quarter (8 - 14)
4th Quarter (0 - 15)
Preview
Essendon is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Gold Coast have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Gold Coast could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Gold Coast is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Gold Coast in today's match, at odds of 1.43.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Essendon has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 61:66 (averaging 30.5:33 goals per game).
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