The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greater Western Sydney Giants 42%
Draw 7%
Richmond Tigers 51%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.8%
1.8%
53.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
1.4%
69.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greater Western Sydney Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greater Western Sydney Giants that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richmond Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Greater Western Sydney Giants - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Richmond will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 61:29
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (6 - 22)
2nd Quarter (12 - 33)
3rd Quarter (36 - 7)
4th Quarter (7 - 6)
Preview
GWS is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Richmond has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
GWS could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Richmond in today's match, at odds of 1.72.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, GWS has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 170:205 (averaging 34:41 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for GWS against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 128:110 goals (averaging 42.7:36.7 per game).
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