Match Info

AFL Women - Round 8

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Frankston Park (Frankston)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 1


	Hawthorn Hawks		Fremantle Dockers

	1	2
	1.3	3.6
	1.28	3.3
	1.28	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.2)	3.42 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 66.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawthorn Hawks
72.6%

Fremantle Dockers
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawthorn Hawks's form might have worsened.

Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fremantle Dockers's recent form is better than expected.

Hawthorn Hawks - Fremantle Dockers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 40:26

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (18 - 7)
2nd Quarter (0 - 9)
3rd Quarter (8 - 1)
4th Quarter (7 - 1)

Preview

Hawthorn is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fremantle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hawthorn is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 100:109. (average 33.3:36.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawthorn Hawks Women
AFL Women
25.09.25	Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks	35:42 ✺
19.09.25	Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks	30:39 ✺
14.09.25	Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows	27:48 ✺
06.09.25	Hawthorn Hawks - St Kilda Saints	40:17 ✺
30.08.25	Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks	10:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW
- Fremantle Dockers Women
AFL Women
26.09.25	Carlton Blues - Fremantle Dockers	32:23 ✺
20.09.25	Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers	56:8 ✺
14.09.25	Fremantle Dockers - West Coast Eagles	23:16 ✺
06.09.25	Sydney Swans - Fremantle Dockers	62:37 ✺
31.08.25	Fremantle Dockers - North Melbourne Kangaroos	14:114 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
06.10.24	Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks	25:34
16.09.23	Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks	35:22
29.10.22	Fremantle Dockers - Hawthorn Hawks	49:44

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawthorn Hawks Women
AFL Women
25.10.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers	✺
- Fremantle Dockers Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers	✺

Hawthorn Hawks - Fremantle Dockers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide