Match Info

AFL Women - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Cockburn ARC Oval (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1


	Fremantle Dockers		Essendon Bombers

	1	X	2
	1.14		5.75
	1.16	75.00	4.80
	1.14		4.9
	1.15		5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.22)	18.75 ↓ (75)	5.16 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 95.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-51)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fremantle Dockers
77.9%

Draw
4.8%

Essendon Bombers
17.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

75.2%

1.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Essendon Bombers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (2 - 0)
2nd Quarter (13 - 8)
3rd Quarter (14 - 13)
4th Quarter (8 - 1)

Preview

In this match, Fremantle is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fremantle won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 186:105. (average 46.5:26.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fremantle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 92:34. (average 46:17).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
8	Fremantle Dockers W	10	5	0	5	407:388	104.90	20
17	Essendon Bombers W	10	1	0	9	328:590	55.59	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fremantle Dockers Women
AFL Women
05.09.26	Richmond Tigers - Fremantle Dockers	35:60 ✺
30.08.26	Fremantle Dockers - Carlton Blues	42:48 ✺
22.08.26	Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers	30:50 ✺
16.08.26	Fremantle Dockers - Port Adelaide Power	20:41 ✺
02.11.25	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	29:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL
- Essendon Bombers Women
AFL Women
06.09.26	Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers	83:51 ✺
30.08.26	Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers	33:38 ✺
22.08.26	Sydney Swans - Essendon Bombers	66:42 ✺
15.08.26	Essendon Bombers - Brisbane Lions	37:85 ✺
01.11.25	Sydney Swans - Essendon Bombers	11:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
20.09.25	Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers	56:8
09.11.24	Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers	36:26
31.08.24	Essendon Bombers - Fremantle Dockers	21:64
24.09.23	Essendon Bombers - Fremantle Dockers	50:30

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