Match Info

SANFL - Round 16

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Port Adelaide		Norwood

	1	X	2
	5		1.15
	4.60	125.00	1.16
	4.9		1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.6)	41.67 ↓ (125)	1.16 (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-33)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Adelaide
18.9%

Draw
2.2%

Norwood
78.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20%

0.7%

79.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Adelaide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Norwood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Port Adelaide - Norwood Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 59:92

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (6 - 9)
2nd Quarter (3 - 33)
3rd Quarter (7 - 27)
4th Quarter (10 - 27)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 0.

Port Adelaide has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Norwood is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Norwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Norwood is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1445:1663. (average 72.3:83.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Port Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 711:680. (average 79:75.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Adelaide FC
SANFL
18.07.26	Port Adelaide - Woodville-West Torrens	95:71 ✺
12.07.26	North Adelaide - Port Adelaide	89:32 ✺
04.07.26	Port Adelaide - South Adelaide	42:104 ✺
27.06.26	Port Adelaide - Adelaide	77:129 ✺
21.06.26	Sturt - Port Adelaide	111:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WLLLL
- Norwood FC
SANFL
19.07.26	Norwood - Central District	97:84 ✺
11.07.26	West Adelaide - Norwood	51:68 ✺
04.07.26	Norwood - Glenelg	56:64 ✺
28.06.26	South Adelaide - Norwood	54:130 ✺
21.06.26	Norwood - Adelaide	121:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

SANFL
24.04.26	Norwood - Port Adelaide	68:61
23.08.25	Norwood - Port Adelaide	87:77
05.07.25	Port Adelaide - Norwood	76:93
23.06.24	Norwood - Port Adelaide	122:39
27.04.24	Port Adelaide - Norwood	43:61
18.06.23	Norwood - Port Adelaide	60:53
06.05.23	Port Adelaide - Norwood	58:51

Port Adelaide - Norwood: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide