Match Info

AFL Women - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ikon Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 5


	Carlton Blues		St Kilda Saints

	1	2
	1.38	3.1
	1.38	2.8
	1.34	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)	3.02 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 79.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carlton Blues
68.8%

St Kilda Saints
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (-32.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlton Blues that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+32.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St Kilda Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 46:35

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (6 - 8)
2nd Quarter (6 - 15)
3rd Quarter (15 - 14)
4th Quarter (9 - 12)

Preview

Carlton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

St Kilda is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Carlton will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 208:110. (average 41.6:22).

Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 124:77. (average 41.3:25.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlton Blues Women
AFL Women
11.10.25	Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues	76:37 ✺
05.10.25	Geelong Cats - Carlton Blues	37:55 ✺
26.09.25	Carlton Blues - Fremantle Dockers	32:23 ✺
20.09.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues	79:26 ✺
13.09.25	Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns	71:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLW
- St Kilda Saints Women
AFL Women
12.10.25	St Kilda Saints - Collingwood Magpies	35:12 ✺
03.10.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - St Kilda Saints	16:30 ✺
27.09.25	St Kilda Saints - Port Adelaide Power	53:42 ✺
21.09.25	St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers	43:36 ✺
13.09.25	Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints	8:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
04.11.23	Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints	26:46
07.10.22	St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues	17:44
19.02.22	Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints	48:2
13.02.21	St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues	16:40
07.03.20	Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints	50:29

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlton Blues Women
AFL Women
25.10.26	Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants	✺
- St Kilda Saints Women
AFL Women
23.10.26	St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions	✺

Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide