The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sydney Swans 81.9%
Collingwood Magpies 18.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
75.2%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney Swans's performance.
Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Collingwood Magpies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Sydney Swans - Collingwood Magpies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 106:72
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (10 - 32)
00:22, Schultz L. (Behind),
01:50, West C. (G),
10:43, Schultz L. (G),
12:55, McInerney J. (Behind),
14:22, Anderson A. (G),
16:07, (Behind Rushed),
17:05, Cootee B. (Behind),
19:21, Daicos N. (G),
21:43, (Behind Rushed),
23:14, Daicos N. (G),
25:34, Grundy B. (G),
28:15, Curnow C. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (14 - 13)
01:21, (Behind Rushed),
02:39, Hayes W. (Behind),
05:09, Warner C. (Behind),
06:03, Long N. (G),
09:04, Long N. (Behind),
10:10, Houston D. (Behind),
11:51, (Behind Rushed),
13:46, Anderson A. (Behind),
16:52, McCreery B. (Behind),
17:23, Steele R. (Behind),
18:47, Curnow C. (G),
29:29, Serong J. (G),
3rd Quarter (42 - 15)
00:53, Grundy B. (Behind),
02:17, Blakey N. (G),
05:07, (Behind Rushed),
07:19, Buller J. (Behind),
09:16, Hayes W. (Behind),
12:12, Amartey J. (Behind),
14:30, Papley T. (G),
15:52, McStay D. (G),
18:03, Hayes W. (G),
20:46, McDonald L. (G),
22:30, McInerney J. (G),
23:59, Heeney I. (Behind),
25:26, Mills C. (Behind),
25:50, Papley T. (Behind),
29:19, Warner C. (G),
31:37, Heeney I. (G),
34:50, McInerney J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (15 - 15)
05:08, (Behind Rushed),
05:46, Warner C. (Behind),
07:55, Warner C. (Behind),
12:53, Steele R. (G),
17:12, Long N. (Behind),
19:15, Crisp J. (Behind),
20:59, McDonald L. (G),
24:47, Papley T. (G),
27:56, Papley T. (Behind),
28:40, Elliott J. (G),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.
Sydney has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Collingwood has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sydney is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1355:1249. (average 75.3:69.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 984:889. (average 75.7:68.4).