Match Info

AFL - Round 7

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 3


	Essendon Bombers		Collingwood Magpies

	1	2
	3.75	1.28
	3.05	1.32
			Watch
	2.8	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.75)	1.34 ↑ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Essendon Bombers
29.5%

Collingwood Magpies
70.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Essendon Bombers - Collingwood Magpies Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Essendon will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Collingwood will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:97

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (15 - 24)
01:36, Steele R. (G),
07:34, Schultz L. (G),
10:09, Caddy N. (Behind),
12:22, Caddy N. (Behind),
20:12, Day-Wicks A. (G),
21:31, De Goey J. (G),
22:54, Hayes W. (G),
24:59, Day-Wicks A. (G),
26:39, Caddy N. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (7 - 12)
00:54, Daicos N. (Behind),
04:11, Durham S. (G),
05:24, Daicos N. (Behind),
07:11, McCreery B. (G),
11:48, Daicos N. (Behind),
12:29, Houston D. (Behind),
13:43, Elliott J. (Behind),
16:18, (Behind Rushed),
18:29, May A. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (14 - 43)
00:59, Elliott J. (Behind),
01:57, Caddy N. (G),
03:56, De Goey J. (Behind),
05:14, Pendlebury S. (G),
07:03, Anderson A. (G),
09:45, Wright P. (Behind),
10:21, Steele R. (G),
12:31, Daicos N. (Behind),
13:55, McStay D. (G),
15:22, Kako I. (G),
17:46, McStay D. (Behind),
20:25, Elliott J. (G),
21:43, Anderson A. (G),
23:49, Anderson A. (Behind),
25:32, McStay D. (Behind),
26:29, McCreery B. (Behind),
29:12, Wright P. (Behind),
4th Quarter (24 - 58)
00:39, De Goey J. (G),
02:45, Anderson A. (Behind),
03:15, De Goey J. (G),
06:07, McCreery B. (G),
08:15, Caddy N. (G),
10:54, McStay D. (Behind),
13:24, Langford K. (G),
16:22, Lipinski P. (G),
18:13, Lipinski P. (Behind),
18:39, Crisp J. (G),
20:29, McStay D. (G),
21:47, Elliott J. (G),
24:03, Sidebottom S. (G),
25:57, Langford K. (G),
28:05, Pendlebury S. (G),
31:17, Crisp J. (Behind),
33:15, Caddy N. (G),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 1.

Essendon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Collingwood has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Collingwood is considered a favorite.

We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 1559:1731. (average 78:86.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 580:645. (average 72.5:80.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Essendon Bombers
AFL
17.04.26	Gold Coast Suns - Essendon Bombers	119:110 ✺
10.04.26	Essendon Bombers - Melbourne Demons	113:68 ✺
05.04.26	Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers	99:65 ✺
28.03.26	Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos	69:81 ✺
22.03.26	Port Adelaide Power - Essendon Bombers	133:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLL
- Collingwood Magpies
AFL
16.04.26	Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies	83:88 ✺
10.04.26	Collingwood Magpies - Fremantle Dockers	39:45 ✺
02.04.26	Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies	119:65 ✺
27.03.26	Collingwood Magpies - Greater Western Sydney Giants	87:54 ✺
14.03.26	Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows	79:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL
25.04.25	Collingwood Magpies - Essendon Bombers	107:66
05.07.24	Collingwood Magpies - Essendon Bombers	80:92
25.04.24	Essendon Bombers - Collingwood Magpies	85:85
25.08.23	Essendon Bombers - Collingwood Magpies	31:101
25.04.23	Collingwood Magpies - Essendon Bombers	90:77
24.07.22	Collingwood Magpies - Essendon Bombers	80:76
25.04.22	Essendon Bombers - Collingwood Magpies	82:93

Essendon Bombers - Collingwood Magpies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide