The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Western Bulldogs 33.5%
Sydney Swans 66.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
45.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Bulldogs's form might have worsened.
Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney Swans's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+20.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Bulldogs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (-20.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Swans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Western Bulldogs - Sydney Swans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:102
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (26 - 22)
01:11, Naughton A. (G),
05:32, Lewis W. (G),
07:45, Dolan J. (G),
08:50, McInerney J. (Behind),
11:56, Curnow C. (G),
13:52, Emmett L. (Behind),
17:06, Warner C. (Behind),
17:36, Amartey J. (G),
19:22, Williams B. (Behind),
20:36, Amartey J. (G),
22:23, (Behind Rushed),
25:12, Richards E. (G),
30:32, Amartey J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (13 - 30)
02:30, Curnow C. (G),
04:13, McDonald L. (Behind),
05:03, Bontempelli M. (G),
07:32, (Behind Rushed),
08:11, (Behind Rushed),
08:57, Curnow C. (Behind),
10:39, Curnow C. (G),
12:37, (Behind Rushed),
13:59, Amartey J. (G),
20:18, Hynes C. (G),
24:04, Curnow C. (G),
25:58, (Behind Rushed),
29:13, Amartey J. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (14 - 35)
03:08, Curnow C. (Behind),
04:18, (Behind Rushed),
09:30, Grundy B. (G),
12:53, Grundy B. (G),
14:15, Lewis W. (Behind),
15:15, Curnow C. (G),
17:56, Williams B. (G),
19:52, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
21:15, Warner C. (Behind),
22:19, Cootee B. (Behind),
23:06, Papley T. (G),
25:58, Dolan J. (Behind),
32:06, Bontempelli M. (G),
34:07, Lloyd J. (G),
4th Quarter (7 - 39)
01:08, Warner C. (Behind),
03:09, Cootee B. (G),
05:03, Freijah J. (Behind),
05:52, Lloyd J. (Behind),
07:05, Warner C. (G),
11:57, Warner C. (G),
13:36, Curnow C. (G),
23:43, Curnow C. (G),
25:32, (Behind Rushed),
26:40, Warner C. (G),
28:26, Baker O. (G),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 2.
In recent matches, Western has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sydney is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Sydney is seen as the favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Western won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1349:1431. (average 71:75.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Western won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 656:743. (average 72.9:82.6).
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