Match Info

MLB

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	NBC Sports Bay Area, NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Pittsburgh Pirates		Cincinnati Reds

	1	2
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.70	2.18
	1.73	2.14
	1.75	2.24
			Watch
	1.72	2.20
	1.80	2.16	Watch
	1.72	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.77)	2.17 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Pirates
55.7%

Cincinnati Reds
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6

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Lineups

Batters
6. Griffin K.	44. De la Cruz E.
5. Lowe B.	27. Stewart S.
10. Reynolds B.	22. Bleday JJ
3. Gonzales N.	28. Suarez E.
29. O'Hearn R.	7. Steer S.
55. Valdez E.	4. Marte N.
37. Callihan T.	37. Stephenson T.
28. Mangum J.	29. Friedl T.
32. Davis H.	2. Arroyo E.
Pitchers
23. Keller M.	51. Singer B.
Coaches
. Kelly D.	. Francona T.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 97:74. (average 4.9:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 70:50. (average 5.8:4.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 54.78%, but this team recently wins 49% of matches with these odds.

Cincinnati Reds - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 45.22%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB
27.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	7:9 ✺
26.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	4:6 ✺
25.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Seattle Mariners	5:1 ✺
24.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Seattle Mariners	11:1 ✺
23.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Seattle Mariners	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWWL
- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
27.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	7:9 ✺
26.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	4:6 ✺
24.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - Milwaukee Brewers	5:6 ✺
23.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - Milwaukee Brewers	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - Milwaukee Brewers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
27.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	7:9
26.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	4:6
03.05.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	17:7
02.05.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	9:1
01.05.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	9:1
01.04.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:8
31.03.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:8

Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide