Match Info
MLBDate: 17 May 2026, SundayLocation: Truist Park (Atlanta, GA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | MLB.TV |
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Atlanta Braves |
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Boston Red Sox |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlanta Braves
57.5% | Boston Red Sox
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta Braves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Boston Red Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Braves than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (+0.5%)Atlanta Braves - Boston Red Sox Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1, OT - Atlanta (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlanta Braves will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boston Red Sox will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 25%). Boston (votes: 3 - 75%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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30.  Baldwin D.
| 16.  Duran J.
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1.  Albies O.
| 30. Gasper M.
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28. Olson M.
| 52.  Abreu W.
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23. Harris M.
| 40. Contreras W.
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27. Riley A.
| 3. Rafaela C.
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8. Smith D.
| 11. Mayer M.
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2.  Mateo J.
| 32. Monasterio A.
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18. Yastrzemski M.
| 75. Narvaez C.
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38. Azocar J.
| 20. Sogard N.
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| Pitchers |
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66. Holmes G.
| 66. Bello B.
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| Coaches |
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. Weiss W.
| . Tracy C.
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Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 4.Atlanta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Boston's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Atlanta has had a series of home games. Atlanta will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 101:69. (average 5.1:3.5).Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 56:27. (average 5.1:2.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Boston Red Sox - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42.77%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 16.05.26 | Atlanta Braves - Boston Red Sox | 3:2 | | 15.05.26 | Atlanta Braves - Boston Red Sox | 3:2 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 21.03.26 | Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves | 1:6 | | 17.03.26 | Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves | 4:3 | | 14.03.26 | Atlanta Braves - Boston Red Sox | 10:1 | | 27.02.26 | Atlanta Braves - Boston Red Sox | 15:8 | | MLB | | | 01.06.25 | Atlanta Braves - Boston Red Sox | 1:3 |
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