Match Info

MLB

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards (Baltimore, MD)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports 1
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay
World	MLB.TV


	Baltimore Orioles		Houston Astros

	1	2
	1.83	2
	1.72	2.12
	1.75	2.22
			Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.89	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.79)	2.1 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltimore Orioles
54%

Houston Astros
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltimore Orioles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Baltimore will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Houston will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baltimore: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Lineups

Batters
2. Henderson G.	1. Correa C.
3. Ward T.	44. Alvarez Y.
35. Rutschman A.	15. Paredes I.
25. Alonso P.	8. Walker C.
12. Beavers D.	27. Altuve J.
82. Jackson J.	21. Diaz Y.
17. Cowser C.	0. Matthews B.
16. Mayo C.	37. Harris D.
23. Blaze A.	2. Vazquez C.
Pitchers
40. Bassitt C.	43. McCullers L.
Coaches
. Albernaz C.	. Espada J.

Preview

Postponed due to bad weather. Played for 7 innings. Event will be played on 30.4. 20:35.

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltimore won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Baltimore has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baltimore won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 92:100. (average 4.6:5).

Including home matches between the teams, Baltimore won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:54. (average 3.6:4.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Baltimore Orioles - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 54.8%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltimore Orioles
MLB
28.04.26	Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros	5:3 ✺
26.04.26	Baltimore Orioles - Boston Red Sox	3:5 ✺
25.04.26	Baltimore Orioles - Boston Red Sox	1:17 ✺
24.04.26	Baltimore Orioles - Boston Red Sox	10:3 ✺
22.04.26	Kansas City Royals - Baltimore Orioles	6:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW
- Houston Astros
MLB
28.04.26	Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros	5:3 ✺
26.04.26	Houston Astros - New York Yankees	7:4 ✺
25.04.26	Houston Astros - New York Yankees	3:8 ✺
24.04.26	Houston Astros - New York Yankees	4:12 ✺
22.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Houston Astros	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
28.04.26	Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros	5:3
MLB Spring Training
10.03.26	Houston Astros - Baltimore Orioles	7:6
04.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros	2:4
MLB
24.08.25	Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros	3:2
23.08.25	Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros	8:9
22.08.25	Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros	7:10
21.08.25	Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros	2:7

Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide