Match Info
MLBDate: 9 July 2026, ThursdayLocation: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Usa | SportsNet Pittsburgh |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Cincinnati Reds |
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Philadelphia Phillies |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.45 |
|
1.51 |
 Watch |
 |
2.45 |
|
1.57 |
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 |
2.45 |
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1.56 |
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 |
2.54 |
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1.62 |
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 |
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Watch |
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2.45 |
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1.59 |
Watch |
 |
2.41 |
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1.65 |
Watch |
 |
2.43 |
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1.57 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.37) |
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1.58 ↓
(1.63) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cincinnati Reds
39.2% | Philadelphia Phillies
60.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-2.1%)Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 46.1% – 91.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1, OT - Philadelphia (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/E Runs, OT - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
44.  De la Cruz E.
| 7.  Turner T.
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27. Stewart S.
| 12. Schwarber K.
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22. Bleday JJ
| 3. Harper B.
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7. Steer S.
| 16. Marsh B.
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28.  Suarez E.
| 28. Bohm A.
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37. Stephenson T.
| 5. Stott B.
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4. Marte N.
| 17.  Rincones G.
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2.  Arroyo E.
| 10. Realmuto J.T.
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29. Friedl T.
| 2. Crawford J.
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| Pitchers |
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51. Singer B.
| 44. Luzardo J.
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| Coaches |
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. Francona T.
| . Mattingly D.
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Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 5).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games. Philadelphia will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 100:82. (average 5:4.1).Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 58:45. (average 5.3:4.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Cincinnati Reds - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 40.76%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 08.07.26 | Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies | 11:5 | | 07.07.26 | Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies | 1:4 | | 20.05.26 | Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds | 4:9 | | 19.05.26 | Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds | 1:4 | | 18.05.26 | Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds | 5:4 | | 13.08.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies | 8:0 | | 12.08.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies | 6:1 |
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