Match Info
MLBDate: 13 August 2025, WednesdayLocation: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | MLB.TV |
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Cincinnati Reds |
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Philadelphia Phillies |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.15 |
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1.72 |
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1.98 |
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1.83 |
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2.11 |
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1.83 |
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Watch |
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2.2 |
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1.67 |
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Watch |
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2.16 |
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1.69 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.16) |
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1.75 ↑
(1.69) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cincinnati Reds
45.2% | Philadelphia Phillies
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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29.  Friedl T.
| 7. Turner T.
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7. Steer S.
| 12. Schwarber K.
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44.  De la Cruz E.
| 3. Harper B.
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38. Andujar M.
| 10. Realmuto J.T.
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12. Hays A.
| 8. Castellanos N.
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16. Marte N.
| 16. Marsh B.
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37. Stephenson T.
| 2. Bader H.
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4. Espinal S.
| 5. Stott B.
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3. Hayes K.
| 4. Kemp O.
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| Pitchers |
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21. Greene H.
| 61. Sanchez C.
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| Coaches |
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. Francona T.
| .  Thomson R.
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Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.Cincinnati has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Philadelphia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 82:89. (average 4.1:4.5).Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 47:46. (average 4.7:4.6).
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Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 56.1%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 12.08.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies | 6:1 | | 11.08.25 | Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies | 1:4 | | 06.07.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds | 3:1 | | 05.07.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds | 5:1 | | 04.07.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds | 6:9 | | 25.04.24 | Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies | 0:5 | | 24.04.24 | Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies | 7:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
