The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kansas City Royals 34.3%
Philadelphia Phillies 65.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
60.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
57.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kansas City Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kansas City Royals's form might have worsened.
Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Phillies's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Royals than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kansas City Royals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Phillies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
0%
72.7%
Kansas City Royals - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 54.1% – 91.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5
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Lineups
Batters
15. Thomas L.
7. Turner T.
7. Witt B.
12. Schwarber K.
13. Perez S.
3. Harper B.
14. Caglianone J.
28. Bohm A.
12. Loftin N.
16. Marsh B.
0. Marte S.
33. Sosa E.
2. Tolbert T.
5. Stott B.
18. Maile L.
10. Realmuto J.T.
40. Rojas J.
49. Hill D.
Pitchers
65. Cameron N.
61. Sanchez C.
Coaches
. Quatraro M.
. Mattingly D.
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 2.
Kansas City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Philadelphia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Kansas City has had a series of home games.
Philadelphia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 95:118. (average 4.8:5.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:48. (average 3:6).
Last Results with these Odds
Kansas City Royals - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.93%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.
Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 60.07%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
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Thomas L. 
Perez S. 
Caglianone J. 
Marte S. 
Sosa E. 
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