Match Info

MLB - Spring Training

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: The Ballpark of The Palm Beaches (West Palm Beach, FL)


	Houston Astros		Washington Nationals

	1	2
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.7	2.12
	1.74	2.15
			Watch
	1.71	2.15
	1.74	2.19	Watch
	1.59	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.59)	2.17 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 10.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Astros
56.2%

Washington Nationals
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Astros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Washington Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Houston Astros - Washington Nationals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
16. Cole Z.	5. Abrams C.
1. Correa C.	2. Garcia L.
44. Alvarez Y.	3. Crews D.
21. Diaz Y.	20. Ruiz K.
8. Walker C.	12. House B.
11. Smith C.	26. Nunez N.
6. Meyers J.	6. Hassell R.
81. Biggers J.	87. Chaparro A.
20. Allen N.	33. Franklin C.
Pitchers
50. Burrows M.	27. Irvin J.
Coaches
. Espada J.	. Butera B.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Houston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 81:80. (average 4.1:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:33. (average 4.1:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Houston Astros - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.82%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Astros
MLB Spring Training
11.03.26	Miami Marlins - Houston Astros	1:4 ✺
10.03.26	Houston Astros - Baltimore Orioles	7:6 ✺
08.03.26	Washington Nationals - Houston Astros	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Houston Astros - Miami Marlins	5:4 ✺
06.03.26	Houston Astros - Washington Nationals	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW
- Washington Nationals
MLB Spring Training
11.03.26	Washington Nationals - St. Louis Cardinals	3:1 ✺
10.03.26	Miami Marlins - Washington Nationals	5:7 ✺
08.03.26	Washington Nationals - Houston Astros	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Washington Nationals - New York Yankees	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Houston Astros - Washington Nationals	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB Spring Training
08.03.26	Washington Nationals - Houston Astros	3:1
06.03.26	Houston Astros - Washington Nationals	7:1
02.03.26	Houston Astros - Washington Nationals	3:3
27.02.26	Washington Nationals - Houston Astros	4:4
MLB
30.07.25	Houston Astros - Washington Nationals	9:1
29.07.25	Houston Astros - Washington Nationals	7:4
28.07.25	Houston Astros - Washington Nationals	1:2

Houston Astros - Washington Nationals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide