Match Info

MLB - Spring Training

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium (Jupiter, FL)


	Miami Marlins		Houston Astros

	1	2
	2.05	1.8
	2.05	1.78
	2.04	1.82
			Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.14	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.04)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Marlins
46.3%

Houston Astros
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Miami Marlins - Houston Astros Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Batters
9. Edwards X.	16. Cole Z.
5. Morel C.	27. Altuve J.
18. Conine G.	15. Paredes I.
13. Hernandez H.	1. Correa C.
21. Pauley G.	26. Trammell T.
1. Norby C.	6. Meyers J.
3. Ruiz E.	91. Alexander C.
64. Navarreto B.	0. Matthews B.
67. Bastidas J.	18. Salazar C.
Pitchers
23. Meyer M.	48. Imai T.
Coaches
. McCullough C.	. Espada J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.

Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Houston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 61:106. (average 3.1:5.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:70. (average 2.8:5.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Miami Marlins - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.92%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Houston Astros - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 53.08%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Marlins
MLB Spring Training
10.03.26	Miami Marlins - Washington Nationals	5:7 ✺
09.03.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	9:0 ✺
08.03.26	Miami Marlins - St. Louis Cardinals	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Houston Astros - Miami Marlins	5:4 ✺
06.03.26	Miami Marlins - New York Mets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTLW
- Houston Astros
MLB Spring Training
10.03.26	Houston Astros - Baltimore Orioles	7:6 ✺
08.03.26	Washington Nationals - Houston Astros	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Houston Astros - Miami Marlins	5:4 ✺
06.03.26	Houston Astros - Washington Nationals	7:1 ✺
05.03.26	Miami Marlins - Houston Astros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB Spring Training
07.03.26	Houston Astros - Miami Marlins	5:4
05.03.26	Miami Marlins - Houston Astros	2:0
25.02.26	Miami Marlins - Houston Astros	1:4
MLB
06.08.25	Miami Marlins - Houston Astros	6:4
05.08.25	Miami Marlins - Houston Astros	3:7
04.08.25	Miami Marlins - Houston Astros	2:8
MLB Spring Training
20.03.25	Miami Marlins - Houston Astros	0:11

Miami Marlins - Houston Astros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide