Match Info
MLBDate: 7 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: LoanDepot Park (Miami, FL)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | MLB.TV |
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Miami Marlins |
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Baltimore Orioles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.8 |
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2.05 |
 Watch |
 |
1.77 |
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2.04 |
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 |
1.83 |
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2.14 |
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 |
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Watch |
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1.75 |
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2.05 |
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1.84 |
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2.1 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.86) |
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2.08 ↑
(1.98) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Miami Marlins
53.6% | Baltimore Orioles
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Baltimore Orioles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (+0.9%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Baltimore will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 23.8% – 76.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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6.  Lopez O.
| 2.  Henderson G.
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1. Norby C.
| 3. Ward T.
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34. Hicks L.
| 12. Beavers D.
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5.  Morel C.
| 25. Alonso P.
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13. Hernandez H.
| 29. Basallo S.
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3. Ruiz E.
| 9. O'Neill T.
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87.  Marsee J.
| 17. Cowser C.
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19.  Jimenez L.
| 16. Mayo C.
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8.  Sanoja J.
| 82. Jackson J.
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| Pitchers |
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23. Meyer M.
| 37. Povich C.
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| Coaches |
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. McCullough C.
| . Albernaz C.
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Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 10)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.Miami has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Baltimore's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.Recently, Baltimore has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 99:82. (average 5:4.1).Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 50:49. (average 5:4.9).
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Last Results with these Odds
Miami Marlins - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 51.52%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Baltimore Orioles - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 48.48%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 06.05.26 | Miami Marlins - Baltimore Orioles | 4:7 | | 05.05.26 | Miami Marlins - Baltimore Orioles | 7:9 | | 13.07.25 | Baltimore Orioles - Miami Marlins | 1:11 | | 12.07.25 | Baltimore Orioles - Miami Marlins | 0:6 | | 11.07.25 | Baltimore Orioles - Miami Marlins | 5:2 | | 25.07.24 | Miami Marlins - Baltimore Orioles | 6:7 | | 24.07.24 | Miami Marlins - Baltimore Orioles | 6:3 |
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