Match Info

MLB - Spring Training

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium (Jupiter, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Miami Marlins		Toronto Blue Jays

	1	2
	1.87	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.9	1.95
			Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.92	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 (1.88)	1.94 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 13.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Marlins
50.9%

Toronto Blue Jays
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Toronto Blue Jays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Blue Jays than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Miami Marlins - Toronto Blue Jays Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:6

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Lineups

Batters
28. Stowers K.	4. Springer G.
9. Edwards X.	38. Lukes N.
6. Lopez O.	36. Schneider D.
34. Hicks L.	47. Barger A.
1. Norby C.	5. Varsho D.
18. Conine G.	3. Straw M.
3. Ruiz E.	50. Stubbs C.
36. Johnson D.	87. Tirotta R.
64. Navarreto B.	18. Nimmala A.
Pitchers
26. Junk J.	60. Estrada L.
Coaches
. McCullough C.	. Schneider J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.

Miami has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Toronto is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 98:82. (average 4.9:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 40:41. (average 3.3:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Miami Marlins - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50.71%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Marlins
MLB Spring Training
15.03.26	Houston Astros - Miami Marlins	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Miami Marlins - Houston Astros	1:4 ✺
10.03.26	Miami Marlins - Washington Nationals	5:7 ✺
09.03.26	New York Mets - Miami Marlins	9:0 ✺
08.03.26	Miami Marlins - St. Louis Cardinals	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT
- Toronto Blue Jays
MLB Spring Training
15.03.26	New York Mets - Toronto Blue Jays	8:1 ✺
14.03.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Detroit Tigers	1:6 ✺
13.03.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Minnesota Twins	6:1 ✺
12.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays	8:5 ✺
11.03.26	New York Yankees - Toronto Blue Jays	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB Spring Training
26.02.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Miami Marlins	7:8
MLB
24.08.25	Miami Marlins - Toronto Blue Jays	5:3
23.08.25	Miami Marlins - Toronto Blue Jays	6:7
22.08.25	Miami Marlins - Toronto Blue Jays	2:5
29.09.24	Toronto Blue Jays - Miami Marlins	1:3
28.09.24	Toronto Blue Jays - Miami Marlins	1:8
27.09.24	Toronto Blue Jays - Miami Marlins	5:15

Miami Marlins - Toronto Blue Jays: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide